Canada To Increase Immigration to 500,000 Per Year By 2025

Canada will welcome an unprecedented 1.45 million immigrants over the next three years as it looks to step up efforts to curb a chronic labour shortage by welcoming more newcomers.

Immigration Minister Sean Fraser said on Tuesday the country would target 465,000 newcomers in 2023, 485,000 in 2024 and 500,000 in 2025 in the federal government’s new Immigration Levels Plan.

Canada is already on track to exceed the 431,645 target for 2022 announced in the previous Immigration Levels Plan in February.


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The increases announced by Fraser include 301,250 new immigrants in the Economic Class alone, as Canada continues its commitment to help businesses beset with chronic labour shortages.

Immigration accounts for almost 100 per cent of Canada’s labour force growth, and, by 2032, it is projected to account for 100 per cent of Canada’s population growth, Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship Canada says.

“Last year, we welcomed the most newcomers in a single year in our history,” Fraser said.

“This year’s immigration levels plan will help businesses find the workers they need, set Canada on a path that will contribute to our long-term success, and allow us to make good on key commitments to vulnerable people fleeing violence, war and persecution.”

He made the announcement at the Finishing Trades Institute in North York, Ontario.

Canada’s 2023 to 2025 Immigration Levels Plan

2023 2024 2025
Overall Planned Permanent Resident Admissions 465,000 485,000 500,000
Economic Federal High Skilled 82,880 109,020 114,000
Federal Economic Public Policies 25,000
Federal Business 3,500 5,000 6,000
Economic Pilots: Caregivers; Agri-Food Pilot; Rural and Northern Immigration Pilot; Economic Mobility Pathways Project 8,500 12,125 14,750
Atlantic Immigration Program 8,500 11,500 14,500
Provincial Nominee Program 105,500 110,000 117,500
Quebec Skilled Workers and BusinessFootnote6 See the Quebec immigration plan To be determined To be determined
Total Economic 266,210 281,135 301,250
Family Spouses, Partners and Children 78,000 80,000 82,000
Parents and Grandparents 28,500 34,000 36,000
Total Family 106,500 114,000 118,000
Refugees and Protected Persons Protected Persons in Canada and Dependents Abroad 25,000 27,000 29,000
Resettled Refugees – Government-AssistedFootnote7 23,550 21,115 15,250
Resettled Refugees – Privately Sponsored 27,505 27,750 28,250
Resettled Refugees – Blended Visa Office-Referred 250 250 250
Total Refugees and Protected Persons 76,305 76,115 72,750
Humanitarian and Other Total Humanitarian & Compassionate and Other 15,985 13,750 8,000

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Economic Class

The Provincial Nominee Program and Federal High Skilled categories will dominate the Economic Class newcomers.

PNP newcomers will account for 105,000 new permanent residents in 2023, 110,000 in 2024 and 117,500 in 2025.

Canada will also welcome 82,880, 109,020 and 114,000 in 2023, 2024 and 2025 respectively through the Federal High Skilled stream, mainly managed by Express Entry.

The stream includes newcomers through the Federal Skilled Worker, Federal Skilled Trades and Canadian Experience Class programs.

The Atlantic Immigration Program will also grow to 14,500 newcomers by 2025, and other economic pilots to 14,750.

Family Class

Canada’s Family Class category will grow to 106,500 in 2023, then 114,000 in 2024 and 118,000 by 2025. 

The majority of family sponsorship newcomers will be spouses, partners and children, growing to 82,000 by 2025. However, there will also be room for a record number of parents and grandparents, at 36,000 by 2025.

Refugees

Canada will continue to welcome large numbers of refugees, including 76,305 in 2023, 76,115 in 2024 and 72,750 in 2025.

More Highlights of the 2023 to 2025 Immigration Levels Plan

  • a long-term focus on economic growth, with just over 60% of admissions in the economic class by 2025.
  • using new features in the Express Entry system to welcome newcomers with the required skills and qualifications in sectors facing acute labour shortages such as, health care, manufacturing, building trades and STEM (Science, Technology, Engineering and Math).
  • increases in regional programs to address targeted local labour market needs, through the Provincial Nominee Program, the Atlantic Immigration Program, and the Rural and Northern Immigration Pilot.
  • reuniting more families faster.
  • ensuring that at least 4.4% of new permanent residents outside Quebec are Francophone.
  • support for global crises by providing a safe haven to those facing persecution, including by expanding the Economic Mobility Pathways Pilot.

Canada Immigration Levels Plan For 2023 to 2025 To Be Announced Today

Canada’s federal government will lay out its 2023 to 2025 Immigration Levels Plan today.

Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship Canada (IRCC) says the plan will outline “ways to address critical labour market shortages, with a focus on regional immigration”.

Immigration Minister Sean Fraser is making the announcement at 11 am Eastern time at the Finishing Trades Institute in North York, Ontario.


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He will be joined by two important stakeholders in skilled trades industries: Sean Strickland, Executive Director of Canada’s Building Trades Union (CBTU) and Robert Kucheran, General Vice President (Canada) of the International Union of Painters and Allied Trades (IUPAT) and Chairman of CBTU’s Canadian Executive Board.

The presence of the skilled trades bigwigs suggests more room for skilled trades immigrants under the latest three-year immigration plan, although that remains to be seen.

This will be Fraser’s second Immigration Levels Plan as immigration minister, the first coming in February and covering the years 2022 to 2024.

The plan will include projected numbers for four main categories of immigrants, the Economic Class, Family Class, Refugees and Humanitarian and Others.


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Under the current plan, Canada plans to welcome 431,645 newcomers this year, 447,055 next year and 451,000 in 2024. 

Fraser’s new announcement could see changes to the overall levels or changes to the distribution of newcomers within those levels.

One of the main changes expected between now and 2024, aside from the over-immigration increase, is the increase in numbers in the Federal High Skilled category, normally managed through Express Entry.

The one-off TR to PR Pathway (included in the plan under Federal Economic Public Policies), announced during Covid-19, is expected to finish welcoming its new immigrants by 2024.

This allows room for the Federal High Skilled category to double in size, from the reduced 55,900 newcomers this year up to 111,500 in 2024. This means significantly larger Express Entry draws can be expected.


Canada’s 2022 to 2024 Immigration Levels Plan

2022 2023 2024
Overall Planned Permanent Resident Admissions 431,645 447,055 451,000
Economic Federal High Skilled 55,900 75,750 111,500
Federal Economic Public Policies 40,000 32,000
Federal Business 1,000 1,000 1,500
Economic Pilots: Caregivers; Agri-Food Pilot; Rural and Northern Immigration Pilot; Economic Mobility Pathways Project 10,250 11,250 12,750
Atlantic Immigration Program 6,250 6,500 6,500
Provincial Nominee Program 83,500 86,000 93,000
Quebec Skilled Workers and Business See the Quebec immigration plan To be determined To be determined
Total Economic 241,850 253,000 267,750
Family Spouses, Partners and Children 80,000 81,000 81,000
Parents and Grandparents 25,000 28,500 32,000
Total Family 105,000 109,500 113,000
Refugees and Protected Persons Protected Persons in Canada and Dependents Abroad 24,500 25,000 25,500
Resettled Refugees – Government-Assisted 19,790 17,260 13,000
Resettled Refugees – Privately Sponsored 31,255 30,795 23,000
Resettled Refugees – Blended Visa Office-Referred 1,000 1,000 1,000
Total Refugees and Protected Persons 76,545 74,055 62,500
Humanitarian and Other Total Humanitarian & Compassionate and OtherFootnote9 8,250 10,500 7,750

Canada’s Start-Up Visa Almost Triples Numbers Of New Immigrants In 2022

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New Canada immigration data shows entrepreneurs are setting up businesses through the Start-Up Visa (SUV) at almost three times the rate they did last year.

In the first eight months of this year, 420 new permanent residents came to Canada under the SUV. 

That’s up 189.6 per cent from the 145 new permanent residents in the first eight months of last year under the program which allows foreign nationals to gain permanent residency in Canada by embracing entrepreneurship.


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Although overall immigration to Canada set a record last year with 406,030 new permanent residents, arrivals under the SUV were sluggish last year.

But this year’s performance isn’t just a rebound on an abnormally-low level of arrivals in 2021.

SUV Up 13.5% From Pre-Pandemic Levels

In the eight months ending in August, Canada welcomed 50 more entrepreneurs, or 13.5 per cent more, through the SUV than it had in 2019, the last full year before the COVID-19 pandemic and the subsequent public health restrictions which hampered international travel and immigration. 

As the coronavirus which causes COVID-19 spread throughout the globe, Canada closed its borders to all but essential travel in 2020 and public health restrictions made international travel very difficult due to COVID-19 tests, quarantines, and the need to wear face masks. 

In Canada, many businesses were shut down for part of that year.

Immigration plummeted by 45.9 per cent to only 184,585 new permanent residents in 2020 but with more and more Canadians vaccinated against COVID-19, the border eventually re-opened and public health restrictions were eased last year. 

Ottawa also put in place many measures to boost immigration.

The SUV program generates much lower overall numbers of new permanent residents than federal worker programs, such as the Federal Skilled Worker (FSW) and Federal Skilled Trade (FST), the Provincial Nominee Programs (PNP) or the regional economic development programs including the Atlantic Immigration Program (AIP) and Rural and Northern Immigration Pilot (RNIP). 

Due to these smaller numbers, the monthly fluctuations in the number of new permanent residents under the SUV can seem exaggerated when examined in percentage terms. 

SUV Saw 22.2% Bump In August Over July

In August, for example, the number of new permanent residents to Canada under the SUV rose by 22.2 per cent when only 10 more applicants gained their permanent residency. 

This year, the program welcomed 55 new permanent residents to Canada in January, 40 in February, 60 on March, 20 in April, 60 in May and hit a high of 70 in June before slumping back to 45 in July. 

The SUV program has averaged 52.5 new permanent residents to Canada per month this year, meaning it could welcome 630 new permanent residents to the country this year should the current rate of arrivals continue for the rest of 2022.


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That projected number of new permanent residents under the SUV this year would be 63.6 per cent more than 385 last year and 22.3 per cent more than 515 in 2019.

The two provinces getting the biggest benefit from the SUV this year are British Columbia which had already welcomed 190 new permanent residents under the program by the end of August and Ontario which had welcomed 185 new permanent residents through it by that time.

Candidates applying under the SUV program can initially come to Canada on a work permit supported by their designated Canadian investor before their application for permanent residence is finalized.

Business Development And Investing Through The SUV

Under the SUV, three types of private-sector investors are considered: angel investorsventure capital funds, and business incubators.

A designated venture capital fund must confirm that it is investing at least $200,000 into the qualifying business. Candidates can also qualify with two or more commitments from designated venture capital funds totalling $200,000.

A designated angel investor group must invest at least $75,000 into the qualifying business. Candidates can also qualify with two or more investments from angel investor groups totalling $75,000.

A designated business incubator must accept the applicant into its business incubator program. It is up to the immigrant investor to develop a viable business plan that will meet the due diligence requirements of these government-approved designated entities.

Investing and the development of the business is usually done with the help of business consultants in Canada’s start-up ecosystem with oversight from experienced corporate business immigration lawyers who can ensure a start-up’s business concept meets all industry-required terms and conditions.

The basic government-imposed candidate eligibility requirements for the SUV are: